Electoral votes: 6 270 to Win projection: Likely Trump, Kentucky backed Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, but has voted for the Republican candidate in the ensuing five elections. Electoral votes: 7 270 to Win projection: Safe for Trump, Oregon has voted for every Democratic candidate since Michael Dukakis in 1988, but voted Republican in the four elections before that. The Republicans' six-election winning streak, however, could be at jeopardy in 2020. Donald J. Trump is up by 19 points … So, while they pick the names of the candidates they are voting for, they are actually casting their ballots for the electors in their respective states.
Trump has 523,443 more votes than Hillary Clinton, with 100 percent reporting. Missouri is given one electoral vote for each Missouri congressional district, in addition to one electoral vote for each of the two Missouri Senators.
See also: Ballot access for presidential candidates The candidate list below is based on an email exchange between Ballotpedia and a representative from the Missouri secretary of state's office on September 20, 2016. Bush in 1992. and over 1 Mio. We'll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. 8. That could change in 2020, though, as a strong Senate bid from Democratic challenger Mark Kelly could lift Joe Biden at the polls. Chart.
Trump won the state in 2016 by a 68-26 percentage margin over Hillary Clinton. Texas: 38. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were provided to Bal… Electoral votes: 9 270 to Win projection: Likely Trump, Like its neighbor to the north, South Dakota rarely votes Democrat. Electoral votes: 10 270 to Win projection: Likely Trump, Bill Clinton's 1992 campaign was the only Democratic bid to get Montana's attention since LBJ in 1964. Electoral votes: 12 270 to Win projection: Safe for Biden, West Virginia has voted Republican five straight times and will likely make it a sixth in November.
1. It's voted Republican in eight of the last 10 presidential elections. Other states that could swing either way based on demographics include Ohio and North Carolina. Number of electoral votes from Missouri designated to each party's candidate in U.S. presidential elections from 1820 to 2016 [Graph]. Leading up to the November 8, 2016, race, there have been some speculations of, US elections: What the polls won’t tell us.
The answer: The electoral college. In 1888, Republican Benjamin Harrison won with 233 electoral votes, even though Grover Cleveland, the incumbent Democrat president won 100,456 more votes. Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. One electoral vote # How much each state matters. Electoral votes: 8 270 to Win projection: Safe for Trump, Like other Southern states, Louisiana has been supportive of Republicans — unless a Southern Democrat happens to be running. The Sunshine State has voted for the winner in 11 of the last 12 elections with the lone exception being a vote for George H.W. The lone exception was a vote for Georgia neighbor Jimmy Carter in 1976. Electoral votes: 7 270 to Win projection: Safe for Biden, The "First State" has voted for the Democratic candidate seven straight times and that likely won't change with Joe Biden having a chance to be the first U.S. president to hail from Delaware. Not much, experts say, Chain restaurants closing locations this year. Connect with friends faster than ever with the new Facebook app. Electoral votes: 3 270 to Win projection: Likely Trump, With the exception of 1964, the Husker State has been a Republican stronghold since 1940. Electoral votes: 6 270 to Win projection: Safe for Trump, California voted Republican for all five elections between 1972 and 1988 but changing demographics have made it solidly blue in each election since. The states of Maine and Nebraska allocate their electors based on the winner of each district and the overall winner of the state.
In the 2000 presidential race for example, Al Gore lost his home state of Tennessee, where he served as congressman and senator for 16 years. Had he won Tennessee’s 11 electoral votes, he would have obtained 277 electoral votes, seven more than the required 270, winning the presidency even without the contested popular votes in Florida. Here's a map of the country, with each state sized by its number of electoral votes and shaded by the leading candidate's chance of winning it. He lost New York by 22 percentage points in 2016 and the state hasn't voted for a Republican since Ronald Reagan's second campaign in 1984. It's voted Democrat the last three elections after voting for the Republican candidate in the three elections before that. One even ended up being decided by Congress.
Have thoughts on our forecast? In Texas, which has the second highest electoral votes at 38, Republicans edge out Democrats . It was the only state to vote for George McGovern during Richard Nixon's landslide victory in 1972. Full results by state for the 2016 presidential election and electoral vote count. The larger the state’s population, the larger the size of the electoral college. Electoral votes: 4 270 to Win projection: Likely Biden, Hillary Clinton won Maryland 60 to 34, so Joe Biden shouldn't have any trouble. The Missouri primary ran on March 15, 2016, alongside those of the Republican, Democratic, and Constitution parties. Then you will be able to mark statistics as favourites and use personal statistics alerts. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. Have thoughts on our forecast? Electoral votes: 4 270 to Win projection: Safe for Trump, Illinois voted Republican in eight of 10 elections from 1952 to 1988, but has been Democratic since siding with Bill Clinton in 1992. We update our forecast with new polls as they are released.
Candidate portraits by Kristina Micotti. Facebook: number of monthly active users worldwide 2008-2020, Smartphone market share worldwide by vendor 2009-2020, Number of apps available in leading app stores 2020, Big Mac index - global prices for a Big Mac 2020, Profit from additional features with an Employee Account. The framers of the US constitution also made sure that smaller states are equitably represented, and their voices are heard.
Electoral votes: 10 270 to Win projection: Leans Biden, Mississippi has voted Republican 10 straight times. The number of electoral votes for each state is equal to the sum of its number of Senators and its number of Representatives.
Electoral votes: 16 270 to Win projection: Leans Biden, Minnesota has had a long progressive tradition and has voted for the Democratic candidate in 11 straight elections. To win, a candidate needs 50 percent plus one of the total 538 electors. In the 2000 US presidential election, Vice President Al Gore received 543,000 more votes than his rival, George W Bush, then governor of Texas.
Electoral votes: 3 270 to Win projection: Safe for Biden, Virginia voted Republican for every candidate from Nixon in 1968 through George W. Bush's second term.
Electoral votes: 20 270 to Win projection: Safe for Biden, Mike Pence's home state has gone red in every presidential election since 1940 with the exception of two Novembers — LBJ's landslide win over Barry Goldwater in 1964 and Barack Obama's victory over John McCain in 2008. Here are the expected margins of victory. $39 per month* Here are the polls we added in each update. Americans will cast their ballots for a new president, but the electoral college will make the final decision. Download CSV of polls.
Electoral votes: 14 270 to Win projection: Safe for Biden, The state has become increasingly Democratic over the last few decades, going blue in six of the last seven elections (George W. Bush in 2004). Notice any bugs or missing polls? This feature is limited to our corporate solutions. In. Learn more about how Statista can support your business.
Bush in 1988. Whichever Presidential candidate gets the majority of the electoral votes becomes the President. Based on the “winner-take-all” rules and traditions in 48 of the 50 states, the electors will then cast their votes in favour of the winning candidate of that state. A candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to clinch the White House. Electoral votes: 3 270 to Win projection: Likely Trump, The home of Barry Goldwater and John McCain usually goes Republican with the only Democratic dalliance over the last 12 elections being Bill Clinton in 1996. REPORTER’S NOTEBOOK: Getting voters out, or to stay home. Electoral votes: 3 270 to Win projection: Safe for Trump, Tennessee has gone Republican in eight of the last 10 elections and even voted against native son Al Gore in 2000. Send us an email. 1888, Republican Benjamin Harrison won with 233 electoral votes, even though Grover Cleveland, the incumbent Democrat president won 100,456 more votes. From a peak of 18 electoral votes just prior to the Great Depression, Missouri has been reduced to 10 today. But Trump's surprise victory in 2016 changed the calculus after the Mitten State turned red by a small margin. Despite all the time, money and attention spent every four years, much of a presidential election is easily predicted. September 21, 2020. Electoral votes: 4 270 to Win projection: Safe for Biden, South Carolina has voted for a Republican in every election since 1960 with the exception of Jimmy Carter in 1976. That gives us a distribution for each candidate, where the tallest bar is the outcome that occurred most frequently. It did, however, award an electoral vote to Barack Obama in 2008.
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